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| The Contestants. |
THE ANALYSIS: The
highest number of votes that could be cast tomorrow is 2594 being the total
number of PVCs collected.
There is a slight
possibility that not all PVC holders would vote.
Senator Ademola
Adeleke has 353 votes advantage.
Half of 2594 is 1297.
Meaning that he needs 1298 votes to win. With 353 votes head start, he
needs 945 votes to be declared the winner.
HON. OYETOLA
Gboyega Oyetola on the
other hand needs 1298 + 353 votes to win for a total of 1651 out of the
outstanding 2594 votes.
OMISORE FACTOR
Where ever Omisore
chooses to go will help a little bit because his father is the village head of
one of the polling units. But we must bear in mind that not even him won the
elections in the areas, APC won. Why? The votes that would have naturally gone to
PDP as a block were splitted between PDP and SDP.
Adeleke' s running
mate Hon. Albert Adeogun is from Ife as well.
ADEOGUN FACTOR
Albert Adeogun,
Adeleke runningmate is the current member of the House of Representatives
representing Ife Central/East/North/South Federal Constituencies.
Meaning that 4 out of the current outstanding 7 polling units fall under his presentation.
It makes sense why
Omisore got more votes than him when he was a candidate, Ife people have been
yearning to have an Ife indigene as the Governor. Therefore, they would
naturally prefer Governorship to Deputy Governorship.
Now that Omisore is no
longer on the ballot, why would they throw away Deputy Governorship away for
Omisore individual interest?
CONCLUSION
Albert Adeogun is a
stronger factor tomorrow than Omisore factor. Omisore factor is
exaggerated.
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